Carlisle United vs Tranmere Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
19.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep. 2008 |
WAL
2 - 1
CUM
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 2
LEE
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
SCU
2 - 1
CUM
51%
25%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
CUM
2 - 1
SOU
51%
24%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
CUM
4 - 1
YEO
61%
22%
17%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Tranmere Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2008 |
TRA
3 - 4
COL
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
POS
2 - 2
TRA
63%
21%
16%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
HUR
1 - 2
TRA
57%
24%
20%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
TRA
0 - 1
OLD
39%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
TRA
1 - 0
STA
56%
22%
22%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |