Carlisle United vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
17.4%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
STF
0 - 1
CUM
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BRO
2 - 3
CUM
39%
28%
33%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2008 |
CUM
0 - 2
LEE
46%
26%
29%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -2 |
| 12 May. 2008 |
LEE
1 - 2
CUM
60%
23%
18%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CUM
1 - 1
BOU
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2008 |
CRE
2 - 0
BAR
33%
23%
44%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CRE
1 - 2
BHA
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CRE
1 - 4
OLD
43%
26%
31%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
BOU
1 - 0
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
CRE
3 - 1
CHE
55%
23%
22%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |