Carlisle United vs Bristol Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carlisle United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
YEO
0 - 0
CUM
36%
27%
36%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 1
WYC
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
EXE
2 - 2
CUM
47%
26%
27%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
DAG
0 - 0
CUM
26%
27%
47%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
CUM
1 - 4
NOR
38%
25%
37%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Bristol Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2016 |
BRO
3 - 0
CAM
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NEW
1 - 4
BRO
31%
28%
41%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
BRO
1 - 0
MAN
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
BRO
3 - 1
AFC
48%
26%
26%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
NOT
0 - 2
BRO
35%
27%
39%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | 0 |