Cardiff Draconians vs Aberystwyth Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.6%
63.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cardiff Draconians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
PON
1 - 2
DRA
75%
16%
9%
|
9 | 53 | 44 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
DRA
0 - 1
CAE
5%
10%
85%
|
9 | 48 | 39 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
CAR
2 - 1
DRA
90%
7%
3%
|
9 | 50 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2025 |
DRA
0 - 1
AAF
9%
16%
75%
|
10 | 48 | 38 | -1 |
| 19 Jul. 2025 |
YAF
4 - 1
DRA
77%
14%
9%
|
10 | 32 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
Aberystwyth Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 0
AAF
62%
22%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABE
32%
25%
43%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 2025 |
ABE
0 - 0
PON
51%
24%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2025 |
ABE
2 - 1
BDG
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Aug. 2025 |
BAR
2 - 1
ABE
68%
18%
14%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | -1 |