Championship round 33

Cardiff City vs Stoke City analysis

Cardiff City Stoke City
71 ELO 65
-6.1% Tilt -2%
1599º General ELO ranking 1189º
Country ELO ranking 38º
ELO win probability
56.8%
Cardiff City
25.1%
Draw
18.1%
Stoke City

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
Cardiff City
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.1%
18%
Win probability
Stoke City
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Cardiff City
-7%
-4%
Stoke City

ELO progression

Cardiff City
Stoke City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Cardiff City
Cardiff City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2006
CRY
Crystal Palace
1 - 0
Cardiff City
CAR
57%
24%
19%
71 78 7 0
31 Jan. 2006
CAR
Cardiff City
1 - 1
Millwall
MIL
53%
26%
21%
71 68 3 0
21 Jan. 2006
LEI
Leicester
1 - 2
Cardiff City
CAR
49%
26%
25%
70 72 2 +1
14 Jan. 2006
CAR
Cardiff City
3 - 0
Burnley
BUR
47%
27%
26%
69 71 2 +1
07 Jan. 2006
ARS
Arsenal
2 - 1
Cardiff City
CAR
84%
12%
4%
70 94 24 -1

Matches

Stoke City
Stoke City
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2006
STO
Stoke City
0 - 0
Preston North End
PNE
28%
27%
46%
66 77 11 0
28 Jan. 2006
STO
Stoke City
2 - 1
Walsall
WAL
46%
25%
29%
65 63 2 +1
21 Jan. 2006
STO
Stoke City
0 - 3
Hull City
HUL
44%
27%
29%
66 66 0 -1
17 Jan. 2006
TAM
Tamworth
1 - 1
Stoke City
STO
19%
26%
55%
66 48 18 0
14 Jan. 2006
WAT
Watford
1 - 0
Stoke City
STO
61%
23%
16%
67 72 5 -1