Carchá vs Sansare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
20.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 0
CAR
24%
26%
51%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
AUR
1 - 1
CAR
21%
25%
54%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
CON
38%
28%
35%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
COM
1 - 1
CAR
25%
26%
49%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 0
UNI
47%
27%
26%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sansare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
QUI
48%
24%
29%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 1
SAC
51%
25%
24%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
DEP
3 - 0
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2018 |
MIX
1 - 2
SAN
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
AUR
46%
25%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |