Carchá vs Sacachispas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.8%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
31.2%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
DSA
1 - 1
CAR
70%
18%
12%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
COM
39%
26%
35%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
2 - 1
AUR
31%
27%
42%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2015 |
DEP
3 - 0
CAR
49%
24%
27%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CAR
0 - 1
CDB
47%
25%
28%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sacachispas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2015 |
SAC
1 - 2
SAY
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2015 |
MIX
1 - 0
SAC
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
2 - 0
QUI
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2015 |
DSA
2 - 0
SAC
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 54 | 10 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 2015 |
SAC
0 - 1
COM
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |