Carchá vs Mixco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.5%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
43.5%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.6%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAR
57%
24%
19%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
COB
30%
26%
45%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
SAC
2 - 1
CAR
51%
24%
25%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
CAR
4 - 0
DEP
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
ZAC
0 - 0
CAR
75%
16%
8%
|
38 | 58 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Mixco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
4 - 3
QUI
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
ACH
1 - 0
MIX
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
3 - 0
SAY
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
MIX
2 - 1
ZAC
27%
26%
48%
|
47 | 58 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
MIX
46%
26%
27%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |