Carchá vs Mictlán analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.3%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.8%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carchá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
COM
3 - 0
CAR
54%
24%
22%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAC
1 - 0
CAR
46%
27%
27%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
2 - 1
ACH
34%
25%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
CAR
1 - 2
MIX
43%
25%
32%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CON
4 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Mictlán
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CON
0 - 0
AUR
43%
27%
31%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 0
CON
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
CON
2 - 1
COM
39%
27%
35%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
SAC
2 - 1
CON
37%
27%
36%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
CON
4 - 2
CAR
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | +1 |