Caravel vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.7%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.9%
20.4%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
2-7
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
31%
22%
47%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 2
SVS
50%
21%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
NAC
3 - 3
CAR
52%
21%
27%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
4 - 2
BRI
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
DAK
40%
22%
38%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
RIV
5 - 1
BUB
69%
16%
14%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2022 |
RIV
1 - 3
FAM
39%
24%
37%
|
26 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
2 - 3
UFC
92%
6%
2%
|
26 | 10 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
FAM
1 - 0
RIV
56%
21%
24%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
RIV
1 - 1
RCA
41%
23%
37%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |