Caravel vs River Plate analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
3.3%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
3.1%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.5%
27.2%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-50%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 2
FAM
58%
19%
24%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
EST
1 - 1
CAR
46%
21%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
BUB
1 - 3
CAR
46%
21%
33%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
BRI
48%
20%
32%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2016 |
CAR
0 - 4
RCA
50%
20%
31%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
River Plate
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
RCA
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
BUB
0 - 1
RIV
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
0 - 5
BRI
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
RIV
2 - 2
DAK
51%
22%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 0
RIV
50%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |