Caravel vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
15.8%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.3%
19%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19%
65.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-33%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
CAR
1 - 2
ASF
27%
20%
53%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
3 - 2
SVB
18%
18%
64%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2024 |
CAR
4 - 1
SVR
76%
13%
11%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2024 |
SVJ
4 - 0
CAR
80%
12%
8%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FAM
10 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FAM
6 - 0
SVJ
53%
20%
27%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2024 |
SVR
1 - 6
FAM
9%
15%
76%
|
29 | 9 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2024 |
ASF
1 - 2
FAM
33%
22%
45%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
FAM
10 - 0
SVB
49%
21%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FAM
10 - 1
CAR
82%
12%
7%
|
29 | 15 | 14 | 0 |