Caravel vs La Fama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
21.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.9%
23%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
55.1%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb. 2008 |
SVJ
2 - 1
CAR
77%
15%
8%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
RIV
2 - 1
CAR
76%
15%
9%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
0 - 6
BRI
21%
23%
56%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2007 |
CAR
3 - 2
SVE
18%
22%
60%
|
16 | 29 | 13 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
DAK
0 - 1
CAR
81%
13%
6%
|
14 | 31 | 17 | +2 |
Matches
La Fama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Feb. 2008 |
FAM
2 - 1
RCA
48%
23%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2007 |
FAM
0 - 0
DAK
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2007 |
FAM
3 - 0
SVJ
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
FAM
3 - 2
BRI
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
EST
1 - 1
FAM
50%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |