Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5.4%
4-3
1.7%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
19.9%
28.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-54%
-56%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
BUB
3 - 2
CAR
46%
22%
32%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 4
RIV
51%
20%
29%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
5 - 1
CAR
59%
19%
22%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
SNI
65%
17%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
FAM
0 - 1
CAR
60%
19%
21%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2016 |
SNI
1 - 4
EST
33%
22%
45%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 2
RIV
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
EST
0 - 1
RCA
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
DAK
0 - 1
EST
70%
17%
13%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2016 |
EST
1 - 3
BUB
48%
24%
28%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +3 |