Caravel vs Estrella Papilon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
27%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-60%
-58%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
RIV
53%
21%
25%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 4
RCA
52%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
CAR
1 - 1
BRI
50%
21%
28%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
NAC
0 - 0
CAR
47%
24%
30%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2011 |
FAM
7 - 2
CAR
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Estrella Papilon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
NAC
1 - 1
EST
45%
25%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2012 |
RIV
1 - 4
EST
47%
24%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2012 |
FAM
2 - 2
EST
54%
22%
24%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
EST
3 - 2
BUB
51%
22%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
BRI
3 - 5
EST
58%
21%
21%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |