Caravaggio vs Tritium analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
37.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
NIB
2 - 2
CAR
73%
16%
11%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
CAR
1 - 5
NOV
55%
21%
24%
|
25 | 23 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
CRE
2 - 3
CAR
67%
19%
14%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
CAR
2 - 2
SON
40%
22%
37%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
USP
2 - 0
CAR
62%
20%
18%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Tritium
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
USB
34%
23%
43%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
TRI
1 - 2
CRE
35%
23%
42%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
NIB
3 - 1
TRI
66%
18%
15%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
TRI
2 - 2
USP
40%
23%
37%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
NOV
1 - 2
TRI
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | +1 |