Caravaggio vs AlzanoCene analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
52.5%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.7%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caravaggio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
STD
0 - 0
CAR
26%
26%
48%
|
28 | 18 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CAR
0 - 1
COL
30%
27%
44%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 1
CAR
72%
17%
11%
|
28 | 41 | 13 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
CAR
1 - 2
DAR
34%
26%
40%
|
30 | 33 | 3 | -2 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
VOG
2 - 2
CAR
56%
23%
22%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
AlzanoCene
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALZ
1 - 0
BOR
65%
20%
15%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
SAC
0 - 0
ALZ
24%
24%
52%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2009 |
ALZ
3 - 2
PER
69%
19%
12%
|
40 | 24 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2009 |
FOL
1 - 2
ALZ
28%
25%
47%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2009 |
CAN
1 - 1
ALZ
21%
23%
56%
|
40 | 22 | 18 | -1 |