Carapebus EC vs São Gonçalo RJ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.4%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+47%
+64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2017 |
DUQ
3 - 1
CEC
79%
13%
9%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
CEC
1 - 0
PET
13%
17%
70%
|
21 | 40 | 19 | +3 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
CEC
74%
16%
10%
|
21 | 42 | 21 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
CEC
0 - 1
SFC
33%
23%
44%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
TIG
0 - 0
CEC
74%
15%
11%
|
21 | 39 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
São Gonçalo RJ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2017 |
AUD
0 - 1
SAO
57%
22%
21%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2017 |
SAO
3 - 1
AME
25%
24%
51%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +3 |
| 02 Aug. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 4
SAO
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2017 |
SAO
0 - 1
ITA
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2017 |
AME
1 - 0
SAO
65%
20%
16%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |