Carapebus EC vs Americano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.7%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.4%
61.5%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
9.4%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.2%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carapebus EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2021 |
CEC
0 - 3
CIG
31%
22%
47%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2021 |
CIG
3 - 4
CEC
56%
21%
24%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
CDA
2 - 0
CEC
25%
21%
54%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Jan. 2021 |
CEC
1 - 3
TIG
29%
23%
48%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -2 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CER
2 - 1
CEC
39%
23%
39%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Americano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
AME
1 - 0
SAM
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2021 |
MAC
1 - 1
AME
36%
26%
38%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
AME
0 - 1
AME
40%
25%
34%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2021 |
ANG
0 - 0
AME
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
AME
0 - 3
CMA
44%
23%
32%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |