Caracas vs Llaneros de Guanare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.11
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.5%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
16.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
7.6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
DEP
1 - 4
CFC
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
CFC
2 - 2
LAL
73%
19%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
POR
1 - 1
CFC
23%
28%
49%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CFC
0 - 2
CAR
47%
27%
26%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
CFC
1 - 0
MET
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Llaneros de Guanare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
LLA
0 - 1
ZUL
19%
25%
56%
|
49 | 68 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
TRU
1 - 3
LLA
64%
21%
14%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
LLA
3 - 2
APC
27%
27%
46%
|
47 | 60 | 13 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
ARA
2 - 0
LLA
64%
23%
13%
|
47 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2019 |
POR
2 - 2
LLA
59%
23%
18%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |