Caracas II vs Lara FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
43.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2008 |
YAR
1 - 1
CAR
66%
21%
14%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
ITA
0 - 0
CAR
68%
19%
14%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 1
TRU
28%
25%
47%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -2 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
UCV
2 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
CAR
0 - 0
HER
64%
20%
16%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lara FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2008 |
UCL
1 - 2
LAR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 33 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
LAR
2 - 1
ATL
74%
17%
9%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
BAR
0 - 1
LAR
40%
26%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2008 |
EST
1 - 3
LAR
63%
20%
16%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
LAR
1 - 0
ATL
72%
18%
11%
|
54 | 40 | 14 | -1 |