Caracas II vs UCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.8%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
13.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2013 |
DEP
1 - 2
CAR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 0
CAR
62%
21%
18%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 3
MET
40%
26%
34%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 1
MON
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
CAR
2 - 1
REA
73%
16%
11%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
UCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2013 |
ANG
1 - 1
UCV
63%
20%
17%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
UCV
2 - 5
MIN
46%
25%
29%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
GUA
1 - 1
UCV
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
MON
1 - 3
UCV
75%
17%
9%
|
39 | 56 | 17 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
UCV
2 - 0
DEP
34%
25%
41%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +3 |