Caracas II vs Arroceros de Calabozo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
25.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caracas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
GUA
45%
24%
32%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
UCV
1 - 1
CAR
46%
25%
30%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
1 - 1
DEP
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
CAR
3 - 2
CAR
43%
25%
32%
|
44 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
MET
2 - 0
CAR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2015 |
GVA
5 - 3
ARR
51%
24%
26%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 3
UCV
27%
24%
49%
|
45 | 52 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 1
GVA
49%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
APC
5 - 0
ARR
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 65 | 19 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 1
YAR
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |