Carabobo vs Ureña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.6%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12%
2-0
13.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2016 |
DEP
1 - 0
CAR
42%
26%
32%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
ATL
1 - 0
CAR
27%
25%
48%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 0
TRU
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2016 |
ZAM
0 - 1
CAR
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 2
ZUL
47%
26%
27%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Ureña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2016 |
URE
2 - 7
ZAM
20%
22%
58%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2016 |
URE
2 - 0
MIR
52%
25%
23%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2016 |
MON
4 - 1
URE
62%
21%
17%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
URE
0 - 0
POR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
URE
1 - 1
ATL
31%
26%
43%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |