Carabobo vs Deportivo Táchira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.4%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.5%
29.2%
Draw
0-0
11.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.2%
29.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
1º
4º
4º
15
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
15 | 15 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
12 | 12 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 10 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
8 | 8 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
6 | 6 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
4 | 4 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
4 | 4 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
3 | 3 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Next round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 0
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
UCH
4 - 0
CAR
52%
25%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
CAR
0 - 0
APC
43%
29%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2025 |
CAR
1 - 2
BOT
22%
29%
49%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
MET
1 - 3
CAR
48%
28%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Deportivo Táchira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 0
CAR
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 2
CCS
23%
26%
52%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2025 |
TAC
1 - 0
MET
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2025 |
TAC
2 - 3
LDU
36%
26%
38%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
APC
1 - 2
TAC
48%
27%
25%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |