Apertura Venezuela Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Carabobo vs Aragua FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.4%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.1%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.2%
18.6%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
MET
0 - 5
CAR
14%
24%
62%
|
71 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2017 |
CAR
4 - 0
MIN
54%
26%
21%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
ZAM
51%
26%
23%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
MON
3 - 3
CAR
40%
27%
34%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aragua FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 0
CAR
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2017 |
ARA
1 - 1
LAR
45%
27%
28%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2017 |
TRU
0 - 1
ARA
48%
27%
25%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 2017 |
ARA
2 - 1
DEP
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2017 |
ATL
1 - 0
ARA
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | -1 |