Carabobo U20 vs UCV Aragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
13%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
6 - 1
SFE
74%
16%
11%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
CAR
4 - 1
CHI
68%
18%
14%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 3
CAR
28%
23%
50%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
HEG
0 - 2
CAR
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
CMV
0 - 3
CAR
29%
23%
49%
|
40 | 30 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
UCV Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
1 - 1
HEG
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
0 - 1
ARA
26%
25%
49%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CMV
0 - 2
UCA
31%
23%
46%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
UCA
3 - 0
SFE
60%
20%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
TUC
1 - 0
UCA
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -2 |