Carabobo U20 vs Aragua U20 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
31.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Carabobo U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
POR
2 - 1
CAR
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
24%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
CAR
1 - 0
DLA
64%
19%
17%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
TUC
3 - 0
CAR
32%
24%
44%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Aragua U20
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
2 - 2
TUC
60%
22%
19%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
ARA
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | +2 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 3
CAR
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
DLA
1 - 2
ARA
35%
23%
42%
|
43 | 34 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
ARA
0 - 0
CAR
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |