Cappellen vs Ternat analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
35.2%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2010 |
TOR
3 - 2
CAP
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
CAP
0 - 2
RUP
14%
20%
66%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2010 |
SOT
2 - 3
CAP
50%
24%
26%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
VWH
2 - 3
CAP
72%
17%
10%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
COX
3 - 0
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Ternat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
VWH
4 - 0
TER
63%
20%
17%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
TER
3 - 5
COX
38%
26%
37%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2010 |
WIE
1 - 1
TER
54%
22%
24%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
TER
1 - 3
STN
52%
23%
26%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
TER
1 - 0
WES
59%
21%
20%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +2 |