Cappellen vs Wezel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.6%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-53%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cappellen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
BOC
1 - 2
CAP
30%
28%
43%
|
57 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
TON
0 - 3
CAP
28%
28%
45%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
VER
1 - 2
CAP
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CAP
3 - 0
VIS
54%
25%
21%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
CAP
2 - 2
SER
56%
24%
20%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wezel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2007 |
WEZ
2 - 0
SER
50%
24%
27%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
WEZ
1 - 0
EXV
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2007 |
DES
2 - 2
WEZ
63%
21%
17%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2007 |
WEZ
2 - 2
LIE
46%
26%
28%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
WSB
3 - 0
WEZ
57%
22%
21%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -2 |