Capivariano vs Guaratinguetá analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.2%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capivariano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
2 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
UNI
1 - 2
CAP
30%
25%
46%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
CAP
1 - 0
GRÊ
52%
22%
25%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
CAP
41%
24%
35%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
CAT
0 - 1
CAP
44%
25%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Guaratinguetá
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
1 - 1
SAO
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
RIO
1 - 1
GUA
40%
26%
34%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
GRE
54%
24%
22%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2014 |
GUA
0 - 0
UNI
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
SAO
1 - 0
GUA
41%
25%
34%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |