Capitanes vs Matiguás analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
2.8%
1-0
2.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.4%
73.1%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
8.1%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.2%
1-4
5.4%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
15.2%
0-4
5.5%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.9%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Matiguás
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2022 |
MAN
4 - 0
MTG
92%
6%
3%
|
28 | 66 | 38 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
MTG
2 - 0
MAN
5%
11%
84%
|
26 | 65 | 39 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2021 |
UNA
8 - 2
MTG
82%
12%
7%
|
27 | 53 | 26 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
MTG
1 - 0
UNA
11%
17%
72%
|
19 | 54 | 35 | +8 |
| 20 Feb. 2020 |
REA
3 - 1
MTG
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 57 | 38 | 0 |