Cape Umoya United vs Free State Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
+1
18.5%
28.2%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.2%
42.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.3%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cape Umoya United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
TSS
2 - 3
CPU
46%
27%
27%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
CPU
1 - 2
TSS
46%
26%
27%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
PRE
0 - 0
CPU
47%
26%
27%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
CPU
2 - 2
JDR
41%
27%
33%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
TSG
2 - 2
CPU
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Free State Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FRE
0 - 1
UTH
58%
25%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2020 |
FRE
2 - 1
JDR
61%
23%
17%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2020 |
TSG
0 - 1
FRE
27%
28%
46%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2020 |
COS
2 - 1
FRE
16%
25%
59%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2020 |
FRE
3 - 0
MIL
51%
26%
24%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |