Capalaba vs Univ. Queensland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.6%
Win probability
3.17
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun. 2014 |
LOG
1 - 2
CAP
54%
21%
25%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2014 |
CAP
4 - 2
ROC
26%
22%
52%
|
23 | 31 | 8 | +2 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
WOL
4 - 0
CAP
88%
8%
4%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
IPS
1 - 2
CAP
43%
23%
34%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
CAP
6 - 1
NOR
81%
12%
7%
|
23 | 13 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Univ. Queensland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jun. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 1
PEN
8%
14%
77%
|
15 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
UNI
0 - 0
EAS
11%
17%
71%
|
13 | 35 | 22 | +2 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
BRI
0 - 3
UNI
74%
16%
11%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
UNI
2 - 3
LOG
13%
19%
69%
|
12 | 27 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2014 |
QUE
0 - 0
UNI
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 41 | 30 | +1 |