Capalaba vs Logan Lightning analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.4%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.2%
28.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Capalaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
ALB
5 - 1
CAP
48%
21%
31%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 0
PEN
32%
23%
45%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | +3 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
CAP
1 - 1
MIT
45%
21%
34%
|
28 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2016 |
QUE
4 - 1
CAP
77%
15%
8%
|
28 | 45 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2016 |
CAP
4 - 6
HPH
47%
21%
32%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Logan Lightning
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
LOG
3 - 1
QUE
13%
16%
71%
|
26 | 46 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
HPH
4 - 1
LOG
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | -1 |
| 25 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
0 - 0
ROC
34%
21%
45%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2016 |
NPI
2 - 3
LOG
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2016 |
LOG
6 - 0
UNI
83%
11%
6%
|
26 | 16 | 10 | +1 |