Canvey Island vs Metropolitan Police analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canvey Island
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
BOG
5 - 0
CAN
61%
21%
18%
|
42 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
NEE
0 - 2
CAN
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2015 |
LEI
1 - 1
CAN
47%
25%
28%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2015 |
CAN
1 - 2
DUL
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
VCD
0 - 1
CAN
21%
23%
56%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Metropolitan Police
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MET
2 - 1
KIN
24%
26%
51%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
HOR
2 - 3
MET
44%
26%
30%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2015 |
MET
0 - 0
LEW
68%
20%
12%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2015 |
MET
1 - 0
BIL
31%
25%
44%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | +2 |
| 17 Oct. 2015 |
BUR
4 - 2
MET
59%
22%
20%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |