Canterbury United vs Wellington Phoenix II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.7%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.6%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.5%
8.8%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canterbury United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
EAS
5 - 1
CAN
47%
26%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2019 |
CAN
5 - 2
HAW
51%
23%
26%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
CAN
1 - 0
TAS
65%
20%
14%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAN
28%
25%
47%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
CAN
2 - 1
WAI
55%
23%
22%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Wellington Phoenix II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
WAI
0 - 2
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2019 |
WEL
0 - 4
EAS
19%
23%
58%
|
50 | 68 | 18 | -1 |
| 06 Jan. 2019 |
HAW
4 - 1
WEL
72%
16%
12%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
HAW
3 - 1
WEL
49%
23%
28%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
WEL
1 - 2
SOU
45%
23%
32%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |