New Zealand Premiership Round 4

Canterbury United vs Caversham analysis

Canterbury United Caversham
63 ELO 58
4.3% Tilt 3.4%
23592º General ELO ranking 31834º
102º Country ELO ranking 122º
ELO win probability
59.7%
Canterbury United
21.6%
Draw
18.7%
Caversham

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
Canterbury United
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
24%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
18.7%
Win probability
Caversham
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

ELO progression

Canterbury United
Caversham
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Canterbury United
Canterbury United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Feb. 2003
EAU
East Auckland
3 - 2
Canterbury United
CAN
52%
23%
25%
63 63 0 0
06 Feb. 2003
CAN
Canterbury United
2 - 0
Tauranga
TCU
45%
25%
31%
62 64 2 +1
02 Feb. 2003
MIR
Miramar
5 - 1
Canterbury United
CAN
69%
18%
13%
62 70 8 0
12 May. 2002
CEN
Central United
2 - 3
Canterbury United
CAN
48%
23%
29%
62 58 4 0
05 May. 2002
CAN
Canterbury United
5 - 2
Dunedin
DUN
57%
22%
21%
61 58 3 +1

Matches

Caversham
Caversham
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2003
NAP
Napier City Rovers
1 - 1
Caversham
CAV
67%
19%
14%
58 66 8 0
06 Feb. 2003
NSH
North Shore
0 - 2
Caversham
CAV
61%
21%
18%
57 62 5 +1
02 Feb. 2003
CAV
Caversham
1 - 1
Central United
CEN
46%
24%
30%
57 58 1 0