Caniçal vs Calheta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.3%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.7%
8.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Caniçal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AND
4 - 2
CAN
11%
18%
70%
|
33 | 13 | 20 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
CAN
4 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
6%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CRU
1 - 2
CAN
12%
19%
69%
|
33 | 14 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
POR
1 - 2
CAN
35%
24%
42%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 1
MAC
68%
18%
13%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Calheta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
CAL
0 - 1
PON
19%
22%
59%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
POR
1 - 4
CAL
36%
24%
39%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2011 |
CAL
1 - 1
1MA
55%
23%
23%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
AND
1 - 2
CAL
35%
24%
41%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CAL
0 - 2
BAR
77%
15%
8%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | -1 |