Canedense vs AA Goiatuba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
14.7%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.7%
9.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canedense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
2 - 0
CAN
39%
23%
38%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
0 - 3
ANA
23%
23%
55%
|
36 | 51 | 15 | -2 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
RIO
4 - 1
CAN
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
CAN
1 - 2
GOI
21%
22%
57%
|
37 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
ITU
2 - 1
CAN
74%
16%
10%
|
37 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
AA Goiatuba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
0 - 3
ANA
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 52 | 38 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2011 |
IPO
2 - 0
GOI
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 45 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
GOI
3 - 3
RIO
18%
21%
62%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2011 |
NER
2 - 1
GOI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2011 |
INH
2 - 2
GOI
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 26 | 13 | 0 |