Canals vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Canals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
LLO
2 - 1
CAN
20%
23%
57%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
CAN
0 - 0
ALB
29%
25%
46%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2009 |
BEN
1 - 1
CAN
45%
24%
30%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
CAN
2 - 0
MUR
46%
25%
29%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
CDT
3 - 1
CAN
35%
25%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
PEG
2 - 0
OLI
70%
18%
11%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2009 |
REC
0 - 1
PEG
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
1 - 1
GUA
48%
25%
27%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
TAV
3 - 1
PEG
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
PEG
4 - 2
TCF
52%
24%
24%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |