Campinense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.7%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
12.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
CAM
1 - 2
FLA
19%
23%
59%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
CAM
4 - 0
AUT
72%
17%
10%
|
58 | 42 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 4
CAM
44%
24%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAC
0 - 2
CAM
23%
23%
55%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2013 |
SAM
0 - 1
CAM
39%
25%
37%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 3
COT
9%
18%
74%
|
46 | 82 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 0
TRE
26%
25%
49%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2013 |
CSP
5 - 0
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
28%
26%
46%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
AUT
1 - 1
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |