Campinense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
TRE
1 - 1
CAM
46%
23%
31%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 1
PAR
78%
14%
8%
|
57 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
3 - 0
CSP
61%
21%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 3
CAM
41%
24%
35%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2012 |
CAM
2 - 1
NAC
71%
17%
11%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
0 - 0
PAR
65%
20%
15%
|
48 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2012 |
ECP
2 - 2
SOU
38%
24%
37%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
2 - 1
AUT
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CSP
3 - 2
SOU
47%
24%
29%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SOU
1 - 1
BOT
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | 0 |