Campinense vs Sousa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.9%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.2%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
ECP
2 - 3
CAM
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAM
2 - 1
ALE
62%
22%
16%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
ABC
0 - 0
CAM
68%
19%
12%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAM
32%
27%
40%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
CAM
0 - 1
CRB
54%
24%
23%
|
57 | 54 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
MIR
77%
15%
9%
|
50 | 9 | 41 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
BOT
4 - 2
SOU
52%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 2
CAM
37%
25%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
SOU
1 - 0
TRE
36%
25%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SOU
0 - 2
BOT
47%
24%
29%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |