Cambridge City vs Leighton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
4.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.7%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
63.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
11%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.4%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cambridge City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 2
CAM
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
KIN
1 - 2
CAM
50%
24%
27%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 6
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +2 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
CAM
0 - 1
SPA
20%
22%
58%
|
26 | 41 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
LOU
1 - 0
CAM
48%
23%
30%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Leighton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
HAD
0 - 1
LEI
16%
22%
63%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
3 - 1
KEM
81%
13%
7%
|
43 | 15 | 28 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 6
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2023 |
LEI
1 - 2
AFD
79%
15%
6%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
BFC
1 - 3
LEI
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |