Calvario vs Real de Minas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
5.6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1%
1-0
2.2%
2-1
1.7%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.4%
12.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.5%
81.9%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22.6%
0-3
12.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
18%
0-4
8.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
11.2%
0-5
4.5%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.7%
0-6
2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.4%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calvario
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
CFC
1 - 1
CFC
43%
22%
35%
|
8 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Real de Minas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2018 |
RDM
1 - 2
JUT
49%
25%
26%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2018 |
PLA
4 - 1
RDM
41%
27%
32%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -2 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
RDM
0 - 2
VID
51%
26%
24%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2018 |
RES
2 - 1
RDM
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
RDM
1 - 3
OLI
30%
28%
42%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | -1 |