Calpe vs Benferri analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.8%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
15.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calpe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 1
CAL
49%
22%
29%
|
21 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 1
PET
61%
20%
19%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
RAF
1 - 3
CAL
21%
21%
59%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 2
UNI
59%
21%
20%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2016 |
CAL
0 - 1
CAL
12%
17%
70%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Benferri
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 0
HOR
69%
17%
13%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
THD
1 - 3
BEN
59%
21%
21%
|
16 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
HON
3 - 2
BEN
58%
20%
22%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2016 |
BEN
1 - 1
ALM
26%
22%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
PET
2 - 0
BEN
53%
22%
26%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | -1 |