Callus vs Casserres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
14.6%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.9%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.5%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
15.4%
14.1%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Callus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
MON
3 - 4
CAL
49%
20%
31%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
CAS
41%
21%
38%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
FRU
2 - 4
CAL
38%
22%
40%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
PIP
39%
21%
39%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAL
6 - 0
OLO
62%
18%
21%
|
10 | 7 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Casserres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 2
MIN
39%
23%
38%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
2 - 3
VIL
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
AVI
4 - 0
CAS
72%
15%
13%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 1
SUR
38%
22%
41%
|
7 | 9 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 2
MON
31%
23%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |