Calig vs UD Sant Mateu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.2%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+386%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 1
CLU
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 2
CLU
14%
17%
68%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2025 |
CHE
3 - 0
CAL
64%
18%
19%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
1 - 1
BEN
33%
24%
42%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
CAL
2 - 1
CIN
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
UD Sant Mateu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 0
USM
78%
13%
9%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
USM
4 - 5
CLU
12%
15%
72%
|
9 | 19 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2025 |
CAN
7 - 0
USM
28%
21%
51%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | -3 |
| 07 Mar. 2025 |
USM
1 - 7
CLU
17%
17%
66%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
CFA
1 - 2
USM
45%
21%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | +1 |