Calig vs Orpesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
44.9%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+89%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Calig
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
MAT
1 - 2
CAL
33%
23%
44%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 0
MOR
53%
22%
25%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
CAL
51%
22%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
PED
2 - 2
CAL
67%
18%
16%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
CAL
1 - 1
ALC
24%
22%
54%
|
15 | 22 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Orpesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 1
ALC
37%
23%
40%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
BEN
1 - 0
ORP
14%
19%
67%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2015 |
ORP
2 - 0
IBA
63%
19%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 0
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2015 |
ORP
1 - 0
POB
76%
15%
10%
|
20 | 13 | 7 | 0 |